Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
$688.32
$58.49
Smart Money Signal
7 of 7 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 55.4¢ | $255.04 | $259.82 | +$4.78 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.4¢ | $143.98 | $259.82 | +$115.84 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.2¢ | $111.06 | — | -$111.06 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $78.34 | $92.25 | +$13.91 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 89¢ | $142.14 | $159.74 | +$17.59 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $54.7 | $65 | +$10.3 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $47.37 | $52.51 | +$5.14 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $21.6 | $30 | +$8.4 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $17.3 | $19 | +$1.7 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $8.55 | $10 | +$1.45 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
Invested
$255.04
Value
$259.82
PnL
+$4.78
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$78.34
Value
$92.25
PnL
+$13.91
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
pspspsps5Invested
$142.14
Value
$159.74
PnL
+$17.59
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$54.7
Value
$65
PnL
+$10.3
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
Invested
$47.37
Value
$52.51
PnL
+$5.14
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$21.6
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.4
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.3
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.7
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$8.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.45
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
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