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DownDownUpDown
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 86%
Total Value
$30
Combined PnL
-$177.85
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares260
Combined PnL-$193.75
Up1 trader
Total Value$30
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$15.9
Down — 86%Up — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 43.4¢ | $106.83 | — | -$106.83 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $34 | — | -$34 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $14.1 | $30 | +$15.9 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $25.6 | — | -$25.6 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $16.84 | — | -$16.84 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $6.71 | — | -$6.71 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $3.77 | — | -$3.77 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
PL
ply-pm2CTRInvested
$106.83
Value
—
PnL
-$106.83
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$34
Value
—
PnL
-$34
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.9
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$25.6
Value
—
PnL
-$25.6
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$16.84
Value
—
PnL
-$16.84
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.71
Value
—
PnL
-$6.71
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
AL
Alpharo28CTR<$100Invested
$3.77
Value
—
PnL
-$3.77
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa15563a9...96eaaf
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793046000