Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$403.62
$11.4
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $171.52 | $157.54 | -$13.97 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 86.5¢ | $136.24 | $157.54 | +$21.31 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.2¢ | $35.28 | — | -$35.28 | |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $73.76 | $80 | +$8.22 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $60.45 | $55 | -$4.95 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $60.16 | $65 | +$4.84 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $11.81 | $13.18 | +$1.37 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $15.68 | $16 | +$0.32 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $7 | $10 | +$3 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $5.25 | $5 | -$0.25 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.89 | $1.89 | +$1 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
Invested
$171.52
Value
$157.54
PnL
-$13.97
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
Invested
$73.76
Value
$80
PnL
+$8.22
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
Invested
$60.45
Value
$55
PnL
-$4.95
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$60.16
Value
$65
PnL
+$4.84
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.81
Value
$13.18
PnL
+$1.37
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$15.68
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.32
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$7
Value
$10
PnL
+$3
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.25
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$0.89
Value
$1.89
PnL
+$1
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
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