Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 60%
$83.92
-$156.67
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 32¢ | $168.45 | — | -$168.45 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $40.21 | — | -$37.37 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $19.41 | $28.1 | +$8.69 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $17 | $20 | +$3 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 71.3¢ | $15.5 | — | -$15.5 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $14.06 | — | -$14.06 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $2.59 | $28.45 | +$25.86 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.4 | $7.37 | +$5.97 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $95.28 | — | +$27.85 | 65% 98-52 (150) |
OX oxe78sh4w98<$100 | Downavg 38.4¢ | $91.48 | — | +$15.25 | 52% 267-242 (509) |
Invested
$168.45
Value
—
PnL
-$168.45
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Invested
$40.21
Value
—
PnL
-$37.37
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.41
Value
$28.1
PnL
+$8.69
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17
Value
$20
PnL
+$3
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
—
PnL
-$15.5
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$14.06
Value
—
PnL
-$14.06
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$2.59
Value
$28.45
PnL
+$25.86
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$7.37
PnL
+$5.97
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$95.28
Value
—
PnL
+$27.85
Record
65%
98-52 (150)
Invested
$91.48
Value
—
PnL
+$15.25
Record
52%
267-242 (509)
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