Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$250.75
$0.04
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $113.56 | $95.64 | -$17.92 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 65.7¢ | $62.85 | $95.64 | +$32.79 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.9¢ | $50.71 | — | -$50.71 | |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 98¢ | $99.33 | $100 | +$0.67 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $12.12 | — | -$12.12 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $14.25 | $20.15 | +$5.9 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $18 | $25 | +$7 | 49% 21579-22285 (43864) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $12.01 | $9.96 | +$0.95 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $0.86 | — | -$0.86 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $45 | $0 | +$2.5 | 65% 98-52 (150) |
Invested
$113.56
Value
$95.64
PnL
-$17.92
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
pspspsps5Invested
$99.33
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.67
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$12.12
Value
—
PnL
-$12.12
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
Invested
$14.25
Value
$20.15
PnL
+$5.9
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$18
Value
$25
PnL
+$7
Record
49%
21579-22285 (43864)
Invested
$12.01
Value
$9.96
PnL
+$0.95
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$0.86
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$45
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.5
Record
65%
98-52 (150)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Down — $100
Alpharo28
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $20.15
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $25
aaa221
Down — $9.96
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192
Down — $0