Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 89%
1 arb excluded
$301.13
$38.6
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $193.62 | $158.69 | -$34.92 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 37.7¢ | $84.92 | — | -$84.92 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.5¢ | $108.7 | $158.69 | +$49.99 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $35.56 | $60 | +$24.44 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $19.24 | $20.04 | +$0.8 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $8.32 | $14.1 | +$5.78 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $21.28 | $17 | -$4.28 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $9.63 | $17.54 | +$7.91 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.7 | $5 | +$2.3 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $1.91 | $3.75 | +$1.84 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
Invested
$193.62
Value
$158.69
PnL
-$34.92
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
Invested
$35.56
Value
$60
PnL
+$24.44
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$19.24
Value
$20.04
PnL
+$0.8
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.32
Value
$14.1
PnL
+$5.78
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.28
Value
$17
PnL
-$4.28
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$9.63
Value
$17.54
PnL
+$7.91
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.3
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$1.91
Value
$3.75
PnL
+$1.84
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
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