Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$26.12
-$309.78
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 56.6¢ | $267.62 | — | -$267.62 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.7 | $15 | +$0.3 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.7¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $13.52 | — | -$13.52 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $11.85 | — | -$11.85 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $9.52 | $11.12 | +$1.6 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $7.26 | — | -$7.26 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
Invested
$267.62
Value
—
PnL
-$267.62
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.3
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$13.52
Value
—
PnL
-$13.52
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$11.85
Value
—
PnL
-$11.85
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$11.12
PnL
+$1.6
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.26
Value
—
PnL
-$7.26
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
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