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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$190.97

Combined PnL

$49.96

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$79.34

Total Shares79

Combined PnL+$30.33

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares26

Combined PnL+$19.63

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 40.7¢	$90.27	$111.64	+$21.37	51% 6132-5801 (11933)
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.9¢	$44.81	—	-$44.81
└ Up leg	Upavg 40.7¢	$45.46	$111.64	+$66.17
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 40.4¢	$12.99	$32.14	+$19.15	65% 20047-10914 (30961)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 83¢	$25.2	$30.36	+$5.16	65% 119380-63148 (182528)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$7.5	$10.07	+$2.57	55% 16550-13280 (29830)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 23.5¢	$3.18	—	-$3.18	52% 87624-81970 (169594)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$2.04	—	-$2.04	49% 76371-79329 (155700)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 49¢	$2.45	$5	+$2.55	51% 36931-35385 (72316)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.86	$1.76	+$0.9	59% 36902-26123 (63025)
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100	Downavg 51.2¢	$38	—	+$13.33	65% 98-52 (150)
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100	Downavg 52.1¢	$35.35	—	+$11.52	52% 267-242 (509)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$90.27

Value

$111.64

PnL

+$21.37

Record

51%

6132-5801 (11933)

Both legs:

Down$44.8123.9¢-$44.81

Up$45.4640.7¢+$66.17

Invested

$12.99

Value

$32.14

PnL

+$19.15

Record

65%

20047-10914 (30961)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$25.2

Value

$30.36

PnL

+$5.16

Record

65%

119380-63148 (182528)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$7.5

Value

$10.07

PnL

+$2.57

Record

55%

16550-13280 (29830)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$3.18

Value

—

PnL

-$3.18

Record

52%

87624-81970 (169594)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.04

Value

—

PnL

-$2.04

Record

49%

76371-79329 (155700)

Invested

$2.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.55

Record

51%

36931-35385 (72316)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$0.86

Value

$1.76

PnL

+$0.9

Record

59%

36902-26123 (63025)

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100

Invested

$38

Value

—

PnL

+$13.33

Record

65%

98-52 (150)

oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100

Invested

$35.35

Value

—

PnL

+$11.52

Record

52%

267-242 (509)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1125827f...eb1157

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793043600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $32.14

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30.36

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $10.07

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

Alpharo28

Up — $5

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $1.76

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192

Down — $0

oxe78sh4w98

Down — $0

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