Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 50%
$102.61
-$43.18
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $58.06 | — | -$58.06 | 49% 21480-22194 (43674) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $25.22 | $53 | +$27.78 | 51% 36409-34785 (71194) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $25.12 | $22.06 | -$3.06 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $23.7 | $23.91 | +$14.07 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.7¢ | $18.95 | — | -$18.95 | 51% 6112-5777 (11889) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $6.94 | — | -$6.94 | 59% 16265-11214 (27479) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $1.64 | $3.64 | +$2 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
Invested
$58.06
Value
—
PnL
-$58.06
Record
49%
21480-22194 (43674)
Invested
$25.22
Value
$53
PnL
+$27.78
Record
51%
36409-34785 (71194)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$25.12
Value
$22.06
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
Invested
$23.7
Value
$23.91
PnL
+$14.07
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$18.95
Value
—
PnL
-$18.95
Record
51%
6112-5777 (11889)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.94
Value
—
PnL
-$6.94
Record
59%
16265-11214 (27479)
Invested
$1.64
Value
$3.64
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
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