Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$94.57
$7.34
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 23.6Β’ | $44.13 | $40.27 | -$3.86 | 51% 6112-5777 (11889) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 47.4Β’ | $19.09 | $40.27 | +$21.19 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 23.6Β’ | $25.05 | β | -$25.05 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 56.1Β’ | $9.92 | $17.69 | +$7.77 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 55.3Β’ | $8.45 | $15.29 | +$6.84 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $8.92 | $15.65 | +$6.73 | 51% 36409-34785 (71194) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.3Β’ | $7.28 | β | -$7.28 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 31Β’ | $7.75 | β | -$7.75 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $2.66 | $5.66 | +$3 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $1.25 | β | -$1.25 | 52% 87251-81446 (168697) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $0.72 | β | -$0.72 | 49% 21480-22194 (43674) |
Invested
$44.13
Value
$40.27
PnL
-$3.86
Record
51%
6112-5777 (11889)
Both legs:
Invested
$9.92
Value
$17.69
PnL
+$7.77
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$15.29
PnL
+$6.84
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
Invested
$8.92
Value
$15.65
PnL
+$6.73
Record
51%
36409-34785 (71194)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
β
PnL
-$7.28
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
Invested
$7.75
Value
β
PnL
-$7.75
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$2.66
Value
$5.66
PnL
+$3
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
Invested
$1.25
Value
β
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
87251-81446 (168697)
Invested
$0.72
Value
β
PnL
-$0.72
Record
49%
21480-22194 (43674)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
aaa221
Down β $17.69
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $15.29
Alpharo28
Down β $15.65

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
Down β $5.66
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0