Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$215.66
-$5.58
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 44.4Β’ | $91.85 | $156.68 | +$64.84 | 51% 6112-5777 (11889) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 44.4Β’ | $69.62 | $156.68 | +$87.07 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 21.4Β’ | $22.23 | β | -$22.23 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.9Β’ | $29.4 | $30.98 | +$1.58 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 71.9Β’ | $33.56 | β | -$27.26 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $2.38 | $17 | +$14.62 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $2.97 | $11 | +$8.03 | 55% 41545-33964 (75509) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | β | -$2.55 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
Invested
$91.85
Value
$156.68
PnL
+$64.84
Record
51%
6112-5777 (11889)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.4
Value
$30.98
PnL
+$1.58
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$33.56
Value
β
PnL
-$27.26
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
$17
PnL
+$14.62
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.97
Value
$11
PnL
+$8.03
Record
55%
41545-33964 (75509)
Invested
$2.55
Value
β
PnL
-$2.55
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
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