Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 63%
2 arb excluded
$655.1
$0.92
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 41.9¢ | $204.08 | $287.94 | +$83.86 | 51% 6071-5737 (11808) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35¢ | $83.34 | — | -$83.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41.9¢ | $120.74 | $287.94 | +$167.2 | |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 24.2¢ | $48.54 | $127.1 | +$78.56 | 49% 74757-77547 (152304) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.2¢ | $30.75 | $127.1 | +$96.35 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 40¢ | $17.79 | — | -$17.79 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.6¢ | $62.4 | — | -$62.4 | 59% 36738-26033 (62771) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 95.5¢ | $95.69 | $100.22 | +$4.53 | 93% 21625-1687 (23312) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 26.6¢ | $9.08 | $31.88 | +$22.8 | 63% 47883-28520 (76403) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $26.6 | $50 | +$23.4 | 51% 36398-34770 (71168) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $9.97 | $48.59 | +$38.62 | 59% 16237-11185 (27422) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $44.01 | — | -$16.86 | 65% 19899-10832 (30731) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $13.24 | — | -$13.24 | 66% 118087-62156 (180243) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 56.7¢ | $5.31 | $9.37 | +$4.06 | 52% 87214-81389 (168603) |
Invested
$204.08
Value
$287.94
PnL
+$83.86
Record
51%
6071-5737 (11808)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$48.54
Value
$127.1
PnL
+$78.56
Record
49%
74757-77547 (152304)
Both legs:
Invested
$62.4
Value
—
PnL
-$62.4
Record
59%
36738-26033 (62771)
Invested
$95.69
Value
$100.22
PnL
+$4.53
Record
93%
21625-1687 (23312)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.08
Value
$31.88
PnL
+$22.8
Record
63%
47883-28520 (76403)
Invested
$26.6
Value
$50
PnL
+$23.4
Record
51%
36398-34770 (71168)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$9.97
Value
$48.59
PnL
+$38.62
Record
59%
16237-11185 (27422)
Invested
$44.01
Value
—
PnL
-$16.86
Record
65%
19899-10832 (30731)
Invested
$13.24
Value
—
PnL
-$13.24
Record
66%
118087-62156 (180243)
Invested
$5.31
Value
$9.37
PnL
+$4.06
Record
52%
87214-81389 (168603)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $100.22
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $31.88
Alpharo28
Down — $50
pspspsps5
Down — $48.59
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $9.37