Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 71%
2 arb excluded
$962.23
$123.99
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $306.76 | $470 | +$163.24 | 51% 6071-5737 (11808) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.2¢ | $287.64 | $470 | +$182.36 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 15.4¢ | $19.12 | — | -$19.12 | |
AL Alpharo28 | Upavg 59.8¢ | $119.6 | $200 | +$80.4 | 51% 36398-34770 (71168) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $88.31 | $92 | +$3.69 | 59% 36738-26033 (62771) |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Upavg 75.3¢ | $70.56 | $64.32 | -$6.24 | 49% 74757-77547 (152304) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22.8¢ | $22.1 | — | -$22.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.3¢ | $48.46 | $64.32 | +$15.86 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $34.82 | $62.5 | +$27.68 | 59% 16237-11185 (27422) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 73.3¢ | $22.48 | $30 | +$7.52 | 66% 118087-62156 (180243) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $37.99 | $42.81 | +$8.53 | 65% 19899-10832 (30731) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 56% 16477-13211 (29688) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 52% 87214-81389 (168603) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $0.53 | $0.6 | +$0.07 | 63% 47883-28520 (76403) |
Invested
$306.76
Value
$470
PnL
+$163.24
Record
51%
6071-5737 (11808)
Both legs:
Invested
$119.6
Value
$200
PnL
+$80.4
Record
51%
36398-34770 (71168)
Invested
$88.31
Value
$92
PnL
+$3.69
Record
59%
36738-26033 (62771)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$70.56
Value
$64.32
PnL
-$6.24
Record
49%
74757-77547 (152304)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$34.82
Value
$62.5
PnL
+$27.68
Record
59%
16237-11185 (27422)
Invested
$22.48
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.52
Record
66%
118087-62156 (180243)
Invested
$37.99
Value
$42.81
PnL
+$8.53
Record
65%
19899-10832 (30731)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
56%
16477-13211 (29688)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
52%
87214-81389 (168603)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$0.53
Value
$0.6
PnL
+$0.07
Record
63%
47883-28520 (76403)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Alpharo28
Up — $200
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $92
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Up — $62.5
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $30
aaa221
Up — $42.81
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $0.6