Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 88%
1 arb excluded
$326.18
$44.93
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 54.5Β’ | $93.9 | $113.64 | +$19.74 | 51% 6044-5707 (11751) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 54.5Β’ | $61.92 | $113.64 | +$51.72 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 18.7Β’ | $31.98 | β | -$31.98 | |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 47.3Β’ | $33.26 | $70.27 | +$37 | 51% 36377-34760 (71137) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $31.57 | $31.89 | +$0.32 | 93% 21574-1680 (23254) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 66% 118014-62112 (180126) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 59% 36681-25997 (62678) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 67.9Β’ | $18.07 | $26.59 | +$8.52 | 57% 64885-49078 (113963) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.9Β’ | $14.96 | $18.49 | +$3.53 | 65% 19843-10779 (30622) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 55.4Β’ | $8.55 | β | -$8.55 | 56% 16429-13163 (29592) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $1.8 | $5.3 | +$3.5 | 56% 47363-37932 (85295) |
Invested
$93.9
Value
$113.64
PnL
+$19.74
Record
51%
6044-5707 (11751)
Both legs:
Invested
$33.26
Value
$70.27
PnL
+$37
Record
51%
36377-34760 (71137)
Invested
$31.57
Value
$31.89
PnL
+$0.32
Record
93%
21574-1680 (23254)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
66%
118014-62112 (180126)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
59%
36681-25997 (62678)
Invested
$18.07
Value
$26.59
PnL
+$8.52
Record
57%
64885-49078 (113963)
Invested
$14.96
Value
$18.49
PnL
+$3.53
Record
65%
19843-10779 (30622)
Invested
$8.55
Value
β
PnL
-$8.55
Record
56%
16429-13163 (29592)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$5.3
PnL
+$3.5
Record
56%
47363-37932 (85295)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Alpharo28
Down β $70.27
hoodquant
Down β $31.89
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $30
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $30
uninformedfloww
Down β $26.59
aaa221
Down β $18.49
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
bosona
Down β $5.3