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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$170.93

Combined PnL

$18.06

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares97
Combined PnL-$9.17
Down6 traders
Total Value$126.69
Total Shares127
Combined PnL+$27.23
Up — 40%Down — 60%
AL
Alpharo28ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$25.46

Value

$44.24

PnL

+$18.77

Record

51%

36377-34760 (71137)

Both legs:

Down$21.2848.1¢+$22.95
Up$4.1810.1¢-$4.18
pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.81

Value

—

PnL

-$4.81

Record

59%

16227-11170 (27397)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$28.11

Value

$40.86

PnL

+$12.75

Record

57%

64885-49078 (113963)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$7.88

Value

$5.28

PnL

-$2.61

Record

51%

6044-5707 (11751)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$29.7

Value

$30.27

PnL

+$0.57

Record

66%

118014-62112 (180126)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$12.02

Value

$25.04

PnL

+$13.02

Record

59%

36681-25997 (62678)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.41

Value

—

PnL

-$0.41

Record

84%

54207-10055 (64262)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$14.85

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.15

Record

93%

21574-1680 (23254)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.25

Value

—

PnL

-$3.25

Record

56%

16429-13163 (29592)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$9.62

Value

$10.25

PnL

+$3.35

Record

65%

19843-10779 (30622)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.7

Value

—

PnL

-$0.7

Record

52%

87102-81310 (168412)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xf27997cc...5fdec4
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793020500

Traders in this Market

AL

Alpharo28

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$18.77

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.81
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $40.86

+$12.75
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $5.28

-$2.61
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $30.27

+$0.57
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $25.04

+$13.02
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.41
HO

hoodquant

Down — $15

+$0.15
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.25
AA

aaa221

Down — $10.25

+$3.35
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