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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 58%

Total Value

$81.87

Combined PnL

-$271.12

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares443
Combined PnL-$296.73
Up5 traders
Total Value$81.87
Total Shares82
Combined PnL+$25.61
Down — 58%Up — 42%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$86.7

Value

—

PnL

-$86.7

Record

52%

5939-5562 (11501)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$81.29

Value

—

PnL

-$81.29

Record

90%

64816-7021 (71837)

OhioRiskManagementCTR
Down

Invested

$101.56

Value

—

PnL

-$101.56

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$29.1

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.9

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.6

Value

—

PnL

-$11.6

Record

56%

34391-26783 (61174)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19.92

Value

—

PnL

-$12

Record

67%

14190-7009 (21199)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$7.46

Value

$12.4

PnL

+$4.94

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

AL
Alpharo28<$100
Up

Invested

$5.2

Value

$11

PnL

+$5.8

Record

51%

34593-33126 (67719)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$8.4

Value

$16.38

PnL

+$7.98

Record

79%

29830-7781 (37611)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

68%

94633-44122 (138755)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$6.1

Value

$12.09

PnL

+$5.99

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x8b02453c...3611f5
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793003100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$86.7
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$81.29

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$101.56
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30

+$0.9
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.6
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$12
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $12.4

+$4.94
AL

Alpharo28

Up — $11

+$5.8
AS

asdaefef

Up — $16.38

+$7.98
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.5
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