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DownDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100UpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$57.5
Combined PnL
-$43.56
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares159
Combined PnL-$46.06
Up2 traders
Total Value$57.5
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$2.5
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1¢ | $25.04 | — | -$25.04 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.4¢ | $18.79 | — | -$18.79 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $42.25 | $42.5 | +$0.25 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.22 | — | -$1.22 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $12.75 | $15 | +$2.25 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$25.04
Value
—
PnL
-$25.04
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$18.79
Value
—
PnL
-$18.79
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$42.25
Value
$42.5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.22
Value
—
PnL
-$1.22
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.25
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf3395c02...d3010f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793000400