Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
$152.9
$4.7
Smart Money Signal
6 of 6 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $71.04 | $66.8 | -$4.24 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 77.7¢ | $51.89 | $66.8 | +$14.91 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 34.4¢ | $19.15 | — | -$19.15 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $41.45 | $36.68 | -$4.77 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $19.12 | $20 | +$0.88 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $11.48 | $13.5 | +$2.02 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $3.1 | $5.83 | +$2.73 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.1 | $5.08 | +$1.98 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
Invested
$71.04
Value
$66.8
PnL
-$4.24
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$41.45
Value
$36.68
PnL
-$4.77
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.12
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.88
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$11.48
Value
$13.5
PnL
+$2.02
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$3.1
Value
$5.83
PnL
+$2.73
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$3.1
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$1.98
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
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