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UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100UpDownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$100.77
Combined PnL
$27.86
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$57.59
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$30.82
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares6
Combined PnL-$2.96
Down — 75%Up — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100 | Upavg 12.9¢ | $33.47 | $43.17 | +$9.7 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 12.9¢ | $17.92 | — | -$17.92 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36¢ | $15.55 | $43.17 | +$27.62 | |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $3.47 | $8.17 | +$4.7 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $30.05 | $26 | +$3.87 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.17 | $23.42 | +$22.25 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $2.96 | — | -$2.96 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Invested
$33.47
Value
$43.17
PnL
+$9.7
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Both legs:
Up$17.9212.9¢-$17.92
Down$15.5536¢+$27.62
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$3.47
Value
$8.17
PnL
+$4.7
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$30.05
Value
$26
PnL
+$3.87
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$1.17
Value
$23.42
PnL
+$22.25
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.96
Value
—
PnL
-$2.96
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd208fd9e...f86aa3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792998900