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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 67%

Total Value

$75.59

Combined PnL

-$57.04

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$75.59
Total Shares76
Combined PnL+$4.68
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares173
Combined PnL-$61.72
Up — 33%Down — 67%
AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$34.01

Value

$28.71

PnL

-$5.3

Record

67%

14190-7009 (21199)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$25.17

Value

—

PnL

-$25.17

Record

52%

5939-5562 (11501)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.82

Value

—

PnL

-$2.82

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$14.5

Value

—

PnL

-$14.5

Record

56%

34391-26783 (61174)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$29.7

Value

$30.56

PnL

+$0.86

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.11

Value

—

PnL

-$7.11

Record

90%

64816-7021 (71837)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$5.28

Value

$12.4

PnL

+$7.12

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.25

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

56%

15511-12385 (27896)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

AL
Alpharo28CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.8

Value

—

PnL

-$2.8

Record

51%

34593-33126 (67719)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$1.92

Value

$3.92

PnL

+$2

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x79b45cc9...8354e6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792997100

Traders in this Market

AA

aaa221

Up — $28.71

-$5.3
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$25.17

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.82
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$14.5
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30.56

+$0.86
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.11

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $12.4

+$7.12
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.25
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.8
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.26
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