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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 63%

Total Value

$81.72

Combined PnL

-$60.31

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$81.72

Total Shares82

Combined PnL+$8.47

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares228

Combined PnL-$68.78

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 81.6¢	$56.75	$61.57	+$4.82	50% 63712-64675 (128387)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 21.8¢	$22.02	—	-$22.02	56% 34143-26515 (60658)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 26.8¢	$20.51	—	-$20.51	52% 5912-5540 (11452)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 64.7¢	$9.8	$15.15	+$5.35	56% 15449-12313 (27762)
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100	Downavg 44.1¢	$18.27	—	-$18.27	51% 34318-33008 (67326)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 44¢	$11.03	—	-$11.03	61% 16961-10856 (27817)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Upavg 72¢	$6.7	$5	-$1.7	71% 52280-21256 (73536)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 21.4¢	$33.86	—	+$3.06	67% 14151-6979 (21130)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 67.5¢	—	—	+$0	89% 55321-6990 (62311)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$56.75

Value

$61.57

PnL

+$4.82

Record

50%

63712-64675 (128387)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$22.02

Value

—

PnL

-$22.02

Record

56%

34143-26515 (60658)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$20.51

Value

—

PnL

-$20.51

Record

52%

5912-5540 (11452)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

$15.15

PnL

+$5.35

Record

56%

15449-12313 (27762)

Alpharo28CTR<$100

Invested

$18.27

Value

—

PnL

-$18.27

Record

51%

34318-33008 (67326)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$11.03

Value

—

PnL

-$11.03

Record

61%

16961-10856 (27817)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100

Invested

$6.7

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.7

Record

71%

52280-21256 (73536)

Invested

$33.86

Value

—

PnL

+$3.06

Record

67%

14151-6979 (21130)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

89%

55321-6990 (62311)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xba7d9ae3...c692f3

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1792986900

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $61.57

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $15.15

Alpharo28

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Up — $5

aaa221

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

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