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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 50%

Total Value

$38.31

Combined PnL

-$29.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares248
Combined PnL-$39.03
Down6 traders
Total Value$38.31
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$9.74
Up — 45%Down — 55%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.85

Value

—

PnL

-$18.85

Record

52%

5912-5540 (11452)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$10.64

Value

$11.11

PnL

+$0.47

Record

77%

26186-7758 (33944)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$9.04

Value

$9.62

PnL

+$0.57

Record

67%

14151-6979 (21130)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$1.2

Value

$7.48

PnL

+$6.28

Record

56%

34143-26515 (60658)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.36

Record

61%

14113-8870 (22983)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$2.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.05

Record

56%

15449-12313 (27762)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.91

Value

—

PnL

-$0.91

Record

59%

15821-10942 (26763)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.34

Value

—

PnL

-$9.34

Record

50%

63712-64675 (128387)

AL
Alpharo28CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.21

Value

—

PnL

-$9.21

Record

51%

34318-33008 (67326)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.71

Value

—

PnL

-$0.71

Record

81%

33630-7895 (41525)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

89%

55321-6990 (62311)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x7aa47def...e1eb53
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792986000

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$18.85
AS

asdaefef

Down — $11.11

+$0.47
AA

aaa221

Down — $9.62

+$0.57
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $7.48

+$6.28
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.11

+$0.36
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $5

+$2.05

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.91

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$9.34
AL

Alpharo28

CTR

Up — $0

-$9.21
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.71
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