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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$35.89

Combined PnL

-$1.73

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$35.89

Total Shares36

Combined PnL+$6.12

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares49

Combined PnL-$7.85

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 68.2¢	$17.78	$21	+$3.22	50% 54008-54171 (108179)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 99¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.08	77% 25565-7723 (33288)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$4.65	—	-$4.65	68% 77726-36976 (114702)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 53¢	$2.65	$5	+$2.35	71% 21334-8554 (29888)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 29.3¢	$1.25	—	-$1.25	57% 33225-25562 (58787)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 47¢	$1.41	$1.89	+$0.47	52% 5848-5486 (11334)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	64% 20058-11389 (31447)
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.59	—	-$0.59	51% 33593-32241 (65834)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	59% 15749-10920 (26669)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$17.78

Value

$21

PnL

+$3.22

Record

50%

54008-54171 (108179)

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

77%

25565-7723 (33288)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$4.65

Value

—

PnL

-$4.65

Record

68%

77726-36976 (114702)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$2.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.35

Record

71%

21334-8554 (29888)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

57%

33225-25562 (58787)

Invested

$1.41

Value

$1.89

PnL

+$0.47

Record

52%

5848-5486 (11334)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

64%

20058-11389 (31447)

Alpharo28CTR<$100

Invested

$0.59

Value

—

PnL

-$0.59

Record

51%

33593-32241 (65834)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

59%

15749-10920 (26669)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x9503f714...ade62d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1792984200

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $21

asdaefef

Down — $8

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $5

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $1.89

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

Alpharo28

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

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