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OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUpUpUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 80%
Total Value
$9
Combined PnL
-$4.92
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL-$5.46
Down1 trader
Total Value$9
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$0.54
Up β 83%Down β 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3Β’ | $3.08 | β | -$3.08 | 51% 33593-32241 (65834) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $8.46 | $9 | +$0.54 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2Β’ | $0.19 | β | -$0.19 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $0.03 | β | -$0.03 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
AL
Alpharo28CTR<$100Invested
$3.08
Value
β
PnL
-$3.08
Record
51%
33593-32241 (65834)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.46
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.54
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
β
PnL
-$0.19
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
β
PnL
-$0.03
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa6b3c0d3...743780
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792983000