Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 67%
$118.55
-$26.78
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 83.3¢ | $53.97 | $58.05 | +$4.08 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.4¢ | $50.76 | $55.5 | +$4.75 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.1¢ | $18.05 | — | -$18.05 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.1¢ | $9.31 | — | -$9.31 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $6.55 | $5 | -$1.55 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.9¢ | $1.63 | — | -$1.63 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 51% 33593-32241 (65834) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$53.97
Value
$58.05
PnL
+$4.08
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
Invested
$50.76
Value
$55.5
PnL
+$4.75
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
Invested
$18.05
Value
—
PnL
-$18.05
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.31
Value
—
PnL
-$9.31
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$6.55
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.55
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.63
Value
—
PnL
-$1.63
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
51%
33593-32241 (65834)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
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