Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$296.85
-$10.91
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $193.51 | $230.25 | +$36.74 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.1¢ | $112.61 | — | -$112.61 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.1¢ | $80.9 | $230.25 | +$149.35 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $29.36 | $39.6 | +$10.24 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $25.4 | — | -$25.4 | 51% 33593-32241 (65834) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $3 | $12 | +$9 | 55% 40843-33937 (74780) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 68% 77726-36976 (114702) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.83 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $26.56 | — | -$10.72 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.3 | $5 | +$3.7 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 58% 11317-8292 (19609) |
Invested
$193.51
Value
$230.25
PnL
+$36.74
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$29.36
Value
$39.6
PnL
+$10.24
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$25.4
Value
—
PnL
-$25.4
Record
51%
33593-32241 (65834)
Invested
$3
Value
$12
PnL
+$9
Record
55%
40843-33937 (74780)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
68%
77726-36976 (114702)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.83
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$26.56
Value
—
PnL
-$10.72
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
Invested
$1.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.7
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
58%
11317-8292 (19609)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $39.6
Alpharo28
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $5
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $5
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $5