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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$508.84

Combined PnL

$57.59

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$380.93

Total Shares381

Combined PnL+$61.79

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares26

Combined PnL-$4.19

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 50.8¢	$155.73	$185.67	+$29.94	52% 5848-5486 (11334)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100	Upavg 86.8¢	$137.89	$127.91	-$9.99	50% 54008-54171 (108179)
└ Up leg	Upavg 86.8¢	$110.96	$127.91	+$16.94
└ Down leg	Downavg 45.5¢	$26.93	—	-$26.93
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 74¢	$40.25	$39.46	-$0.79	62% 42888-25869 (68757)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 62.7¢	$34.75	$55.39	+$20.64	67% 13858-6900 (20758)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 99¢	$29.7	$30	+$0.3	68% 77726-36976 (114702)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 99¢	$19.61	$19.81	+$0.2	71% 21334-8554 (29888)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 71¢	$9.23	$13	+$3.77	58% 16384-12007 (28391)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 92¢	$20.63	$22.42	+$1.79	59% 15749-10920 (26669)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 60.9¢	$9.25	$15.19	+$5.94	56% 15141-12065 (27206)
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$1.67	—	-$1.67	51% 33410-32117 (65527)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	61% 14067-8822 (22889)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	64% 20058-11389 (31447)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	81% 32112-7778 (39890)

Invested

$155.73

Value

$185.67

PnL

+$29.94

Record

52%

5848-5486 (11334)

OhioRiskManagementARB<$100

Invested

$137.89

Value

$127.91

PnL

-$9.99

Record

50%

54008-54171 (108179)

Both legs:

Up$110.9686.8¢+$16.94

Down$26.9345.5¢-$26.93

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$40.25

Value

$39.46

PnL

-$0.79

Record

62%

42888-25869 (68757)

Invested

$34.75

Value

$55.39

PnL

+$20.64

Record

67%

13858-6900 (20758)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$29.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.3

Record

68%

77726-36976 (114702)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$19.61

Value

$19.81

PnL

+$0.2

Record

71%

21334-8554 (29888)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$9.23

Value

$13

PnL

+$3.77

Record

58%

16384-12007 (28391)

Invested

$20.63

Value

$22.42

PnL

+$1.79

Record

59%

15749-10920 (26669)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$9.25

Value

$15.19

PnL

+$5.94

Record

56%

15141-12065 (27206)

Alpharo28CTR<$100

Invested

$1.67

Value

—

PnL

-$1.67

Record

51%

33410-32117 (65527)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

61%

14067-8822 (22889)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

64%

20058-11389 (31447)

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

81%

32112-7778 (39890)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x19a1091f...44490d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1792979700

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $185.67

OhioRiskManagement

Arbitrage — excluded

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $39.46

aaa221

Up — $55.39

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $19.81

MayorMamdani

Up — $13

pspspsps5

Up — $22.42

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $15.19

Alpharo28

Down — $0

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