Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Down 71%
$248.46
-$77.46
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 20.9¢ | $38.5 | $115.43 | +$76.93 | 50% 52086-52143 (104229) |
AA aaa221 | Upavg 87¢ | $102.09 | $59.99 | +$1.19 | 67% 13816-6882 (20698) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 9.8¢ | $3.7 | $35.04 | +$31.33 | 59% 15305-10802 (26107) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $67.53 | — | -$67.53 | 71% 20772-8504 (29276) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $24.75 | $25 | +$0.25 | 93% 20539-1653 (22192) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $56.33 | — | -$56.33 | 52% 5827-5465 (11292) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.7¢ | $19.76 | — | -$19.76 | 51% 33410-32117 (65527) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.83 | $13 | -$6.83 | 63% 19526-11360 (30886) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $10.34 | — | -$10.34 | 58% 16353-11988 (28341) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 76% 24812-7703 (32515) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 61% 14030-8793 (22823) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 56% 15141-12065 (27206) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $9.79 | — | -$9.79 | 57% 33114-25464 (58578) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 56% 40908-32497 (73405) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 62% 42694-25786 (68480) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 53% 15155-13652 (28807) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 55% 39952-33285 (73237) |
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$38.5
Value
$115.43
PnL
+$76.93
Record
50%
52086-52143 (104229)
Invested
$102.09
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$1.19
Record
67%
13816-6882 (20698)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$35.04
PnL
+$31.33
Record
59%
15305-10802 (26107)
Invested
$67.53
Value
—
PnL
-$67.53
Record
71%
20772-8504 (29276)
Invested
$24.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.25
Record
93%
20539-1653 (22192)
Invested
$56.33
Value
—
PnL
-$56.33
Record
52%
5827-5465 (11292)
Invested
$19.76
Value
—
PnL
-$19.76
Record
51%
33410-32117 (65527)
Invested
$19.83
Value
$13
PnL
-$6.83
Record
63%
19526-11360 (30886)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.34
Value
—
PnL
-$10.34
Record
58%
16353-11988 (28341)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
76%
24812-7703 (32515)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
61%
14030-8793 (22823)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
56%
15141-12065 (27206)
Invested
$9.79
Value
—
PnL
-$9.79
Record
57%
33114-25464 (58578)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
56%
40908-32497 (73405)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
62%
42694-25786 (68480)
Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
53%
15155-13652 (28807)
Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
55%
39952-33285 (73237)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $115.43
aaa221
Up — $59.99
pspspsps5
Up — $35.04
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $25
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
Alpharo28
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $13
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0