Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 54%
1 arb excluded
$777.45
-$21.37
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $519.65 | $525 | +$5.35 | 93% 20539-1653 (22192) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $52.65 | $34.83 | -$17.82 | 52% 5827-5465 (11292) |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $110.9 | $106.6 | -$4.29 | 50% 52086-52143 (104229) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 82.3¢ | $87.73 | $106.6 | +$18.87 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.7¢ | $23.17 | — | -$23.17 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $39.28 | $34 | -$5.28 | 88% 48649-6911 (55560) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $28.64 | $35.45 | +$9.81 | 67% 13816-6882 (20698) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97.2¢ | $29.7 | $30.56 | +$0.86 | 68% 75669-35734 (111403) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 59% 15498-10585 (26083) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 76% 24812-7703 (32515) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 62% 42694-25786 (68480) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $5.79 | $5 | -$0.79 | 61% 14030-8793 (22823) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 56% 15141-12065 (27206) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 66% 14228-7218 (21446) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 63% 19526-11360 (30886) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 51% 33410-32117 (65527) |
Invested
$519.65
Value
$525
PnL
+$5.35
Record
93%
20539-1653 (22192)
Invested
$52.65
Value
$34.83
PnL
-$17.82
Record
52%
5827-5465 (11292)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$110.9
Value
$106.6
PnL
-$4.29
Record
50%
52086-52143 (104229)
Both legs:
Invested
$39.28
Value
$34
PnL
-$5.28
Record
88%
48649-6911 (55560)
Invested
$28.64
Value
$35.45
PnL
+$9.81
Record
67%
13816-6882 (20698)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30.56
PnL
+$0.86
Record
68%
75669-35734 (111403)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
59%
15498-10585 (26083)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
76%
24812-7703 (32515)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
62%
42694-25786 (68480)
Invested
$5.79
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.79
Record
61%
14030-8793 (22823)
Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
56%
15141-12065 (27206)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
14228-7218 (21446)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
63%
19526-11360 (30886)
Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
51%
33410-32117 (65527)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $525
ply-pm2
Down — $34.83
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $34
aaa221
Down — $35.45
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $30.56
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $6
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $5