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UpDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100Up
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100UpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$28.81
Combined PnL
-$38.7
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares206
Combined PnL-$41.19
Down2 traders
Total Value$28.81
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$2.48
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.1¢ | $18.32 | — | -$18.32 | 52% 5796-5413 (11209) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $21.33 | $21.97 | +$0.64 | 67% 13695-6821 (20516) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.62 | — | -$0.62 | 59% 15276-10726 (26002) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.4¢ | $20.54 | — | -$20.54 | 60% 15290-10046 (25336) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 80% 29044-7425 (36469) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $4.99 | $6.84 | +$1.85 | 84% 61638-11964 (73602) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 69% 70173-32234 (102407) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$18.32
Value
—
PnL
-$18.32
Record
52%
5796-5413 (11209)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$21.33
Value
$21.97
PnL
+$0.64
Record
67%
13695-6821 (20516)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
59%
15276-10726 (26002)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$20.54
Value
—
PnL
-$20.54
Record
60%
15290-10046 (25336)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
80%
29044-7425 (36469)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$4.99
Value
$6.84
PnL
+$1.85
Record
84%
61638-11964 (73602)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
69%
70173-32234 (102407)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1e1edf9...986557
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792970100