Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 56%
$125.77
-$110
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6¢ | $79.62 | — | -$79.62 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $59.92 | $59.05 | -$0.87 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $29.96 | $35.4 | +$6.04 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 90.3¢ | $17.44 | $19.32 | +$1.88 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $21.02 | — | -$21.02 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $7.2 | $12 | +$4.8 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $3.72 | — | -$3.72 | 59% 15217-10664 (25881) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $6.89 | — | -$6.89 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $10.6 | — | -$10.6 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
Invested
$79.62
Value
—
PnL
-$79.62
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$59.92
Value
$59.05
PnL
-$0.87
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
Invested
$29.96
Value
$35.4
PnL
+$6.04
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.44
Value
$19.32
PnL
+$1.88
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
Invested
$21.02
Value
—
PnL
-$21.02
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$4.8
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.72
Value
—
PnL
-$3.72
Record
59%
15217-10664 (25881)
Invested
$6.89
Value
—
PnL
-$6.89
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.6
Value
—
PnL
-$10.6
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
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