Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 82%
1 arb excluded
$396.63
$50.35
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 44.9¢ | $121.04 | $200.83 | +$79.79 | 52% 5710-5327 (11037) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 21.3¢ | $30.81 | — | -$30.81 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.9¢ | $90.23 | $200.83 | +$110.59 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $36.95 | $35 | -$1.95 | 69% 68803-31273 (100076) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $34.31 | $56.28 | +$21.97 | 60% 15104-9944 (25048) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $27.1 | $54.12 | +$27.02 | 58% 16208-11821 (28029) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.9¢ | $15.88 | — | -$15.88 | 67% 13511-6719 (20230) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 57% 32436-24893 (57329) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 70.2¢ | $10.14 | $14.45 | +$4.31 | 62% 40677-24900 (65577) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $4.49 | $10.69 | +$6.2 | 59% 15210-10639 (25849) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5 | $9.8 | +$4.8 | 84% 60134-11869 (72003) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $2.95 | $5.46 | +$2.51 | 76% 24072-7599 (31671) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 59% 14599-10292 (24891) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.9 | $5 | +$2.1 | 61% 13851-8673 (22524) |
Invested
$121.04
Value
$200.83
PnL
+$79.79
Record
52%
5710-5327 (11037)
Both legs:
Invested
$36.95
Value
$35
PnL
-$1.95
Record
69%
68803-31273 (100076)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$34.31
Value
$56.28
PnL
+$21.97
Record
60%
15104-9944 (25048)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$27.1
Value
$54.12
PnL
+$27.02
Record
58%
16208-11821 (28029)
Invested
$15.88
Value
—
PnL
-$15.88
Record
67%
13511-6719 (20230)
Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
57%
32436-24893 (57329)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.14
Value
$14.45
PnL
+$4.31
Record
62%
40677-24900 (65577)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.49
Value
$10.69
PnL
+$6.2
Record
59%
15210-10639 (25849)
Invested
$5
Value
$9.8
PnL
+$4.8
Record
84%
60134-11869 (72003)
Invested
$2.95
Value
$5.46
PnL
+$2.51
Record
76%
24072-7599 (31671)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
59%
14599-10292 (24891)
Invested
$2.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.1
Record
61%
13851-8673 (22524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $35
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $56.28
MayorMamdani
Down — $54.12
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $14.45
pspspsps5
Down — $10.69
antsaslyku
Down — $9.8
asdaefef
Down — $5.46