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Up
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100DownUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$18.54
Combined PnL
-$6.14
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$18.54
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$2.86
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares86
Combined PnL-$9
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $27.02 | $13.54 | +$2.41 | 67% 13299-6604 (19903) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2¢ | $8.06 | — | -$8.06 | 60% 14506-9855 (24361) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 56% 14830-11836 (26666) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $0.71 | — | -$0.71 | 58% 14652-10395 (25047) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 52% 5618-5221 (10839) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$27.02
Value
$13.54
PnL
+$2.41
Record
67%
13299-6604 (19903)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.06
Value
—
PnL
-$8.06
Record
60%
14506-9855 (24361)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
56%
14830-11836 (26666)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.71
Value
—
PnL
-$0.71
Record
58%
14652-10395 (25047)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
52%
5618-5221 (10839)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8fdd3128...0e81be
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1792926900