Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 50%
$117.76
-$36.91
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.9¢ | $37.59 | — | -$37.59 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $19.99 | $44.68 | +$24.69 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $73.8 | $61.33 | -$12.47 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $9.7 | — | -$9.7 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $4.79 | $6.75 | +$1.96 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 58% 14506-10295 (24801) |
Invested
$37.59
Value
—
PnL
-$37.59
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$19.99
Value
$44.68
PnL
+$24.69
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Invested
$73.8
Value
$61.33
PnL
-$12.47
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$9.7
Value
—
PnL
-$9.7
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$4.79
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$1.96
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
58%
14506-10295 (24801)
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