Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 60%
$117.46
-$2.46
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.3¢ | $55.99 | $59.99 | +$4 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92.7¢ | $25 | $26.97 | +$1.97 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $23.5 | $25 | +$1.5 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $5.28 | $5.5 | +$0.22 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.7¢ | $0.17 | — | -$0.17 | 77% 23196-6978 (30174) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 58% 14506-10295 (24801) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.17 | — | -$1.17 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
Invested
$55.99
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$4
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$25
Value
$26.97
PnL
+$1.97
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$23.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.5
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$5.28
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$0.22
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Invested
$0.17
Value
—
PnL
-$0.17
Record
77%
23196-6978 (30174)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
58%
14506-10295 (24801)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$1.17
Value
—
PnL
-$1.17
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
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