Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 56%
$130.79
-$15.26
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $42.5 | $50.79 | +$8.29 | 58% 6421-4582 (11003) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.7¢ | $28.7 | $30 | +$1.3 | 77% 40726-12316 (53042) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 60.6¢ | $21.26 | $22 | +$0.74 | 68% 40782-18893 (59675) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 93.6¢ | $26.2 | $28 | +$1.8 | 56% 31373-24226 (55599) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $12.21 | — | -$12.21 | 59% 14095-9766 (23861) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.2¢ | $11.87 | — | -$11.87 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $1.59 | — | -$1.59 | 62% 38200-23710 (61910) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.4¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 58% 14482-10278 (24760) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 62% 17990-10980 (28970) |
Invested
$42.5
Value
$50.79
PnL
+$8.29
Record
58%
6421-4582 (11003)
Invested
$28.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.3
Record
77%
40726-12316 (53042)
Invested
$21.26
Value
$22
PnL
+$0.74
Record
68%
40782-18893 (59675)
Invested
$26.2
Value
$28
PnL
+$1.8
Record
56%
31373-24226 (55599)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$12.21
Value
—
PnL
-$12.21
Record
59%
14095-9766 (23861)
Invested
$11.87
Value
—
PnL
-$11.87
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.59
Value
—
PnL
-$1.59
Record
62%
38200-23710 (61910)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
58%
14482-10278 (24760)
Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
62%
17990-10980 (28970)
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