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DownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$84.86
Combined PnL
-$74.61
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$101.36
Up3 traders
Total Value$84.86
Total Shares85
Combined PnL+$26.75
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $98.85 | — | -$98.85 | 51% 6246-5929 (12175) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $36.33 | $58.56 | +$22.23 | 65% 20341-11101 (31442) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $12.03 | $12.8 | +$0.77 | 63% 50498-29840 (80338) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 72.2¢ | $9.75 | $13.5 | +$3.75 | 66% 111007-57237 (168244) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 52% 88667-83095 (171762) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.5¢ | $0.99 | — | -$0.99 | 55% 16908-13568 (30476) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$98.85
Value
—
PnL
-$98.85
Record
51%
6246-5929 (12175)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$36.33
Value
$58.56
PnL
+$22.23
Record
65%
20341-11101 (31442)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.03
Value
$12.8
PnL
+$0.77
Record
63%
50498-29840 (80338)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
$13.5
PnL
+$3.75
Record
66%
111007-57237 (168244)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
52%
88667-83095 (171762)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$0.99
Value
—
PnL
-$0.99
Record
55%
16908-13568 (30476)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a306c98...3fd038
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793077200