Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$125.21
$15.65
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 39.6Β’ | $64.11 | $42.8 | -$21.31 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 36.5Β’ | $15.63 | $42.8 | +$27.17 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 39.6Β’ | $48.47 | β | -$48.47 | |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 60.3Β’ | $34.46 | $49.13 | +$14.67 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $2.16 | β | -$2.16 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $7.2 | $5.54 | +$0.49 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.33 | $4.75 | +$2.42 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
Invested
$64.11
Value
$42.8
PnL
-$21.31
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
Invested
$34.46
Value
$49.13
PnL
+$14.67
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$2.16
Value
β
PnL
-$2.16
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$5.54
PnL
+$0.49
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$2.33
Value
$4.75
PnL
+$2.42
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
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