Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$173.12
-$31.66
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.7Β’ | $71.8 | $87.69 | +$15.88 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 21.7Β’ | $27.37 | β | -$27.37 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.7Β’ | $44.43 | $87.69 | +$43.25 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $27.44 | $25 | -$2.44 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.1Β’ | $36.36 | $44.74 | +$8.38 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.5Β’ | $24.37 | β | -$24.37 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 91.8Β’ | $14.4 | $15.69 | +$1.29 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.8Β’ | $33.2 | β | -$14.52 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
Invested
$71.8
Value
$87.69
PnL
+$15.88
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Both legs:
Invested
$27.44
Value
$25
PnL
-$2.44
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$36.36
Value
$44.74
PnL
+$8.38
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$24.37
Value
β
PnL
-$24.37
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.4
Value
$15.69
PnL
+$1.29
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$33.2
Value
β
PnL
-$14.52
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.