Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$155.98
-$8.63
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.3Β’ | $93.05 | $79.41 | -$13.64 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 69.3Β’ | $55.05 | $79.41 | +$24.36 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 23.5Β’ | $38 | β | -$38 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.8Β’ | $49.44 | $33.53 | -$15.91 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.2Β’ | $19.82 | $20.17 | +$0.35 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 64.8Β’ | $24.75 | $22.87 | -$1.88 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $1.54 | β | -$1.54 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $8.62 | β | +$10.35 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
Invested
$93.05
Value
$79.41
PnL
-$13.64
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.44
Value
$33.53
PnL
-$15.91
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.82
Value
$20.17
PnL
+$0.35
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$24.75
Value
$22.87
PnL
-$1.88
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
Invested
$1.54
Value
β
PnL
-$1.54
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$8.62
Value
β
PnL
+$10.35
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
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