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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$200.29

Combined PnL

-$79.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares133
Combined PnL-$120.65
Down3 traders
Total Value$68.17
Total Shares68
Combined PnL+$41.35
Up β€” 50%Down β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xcb7736df...6d788a
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1792950300
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