Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 80%
2 arb excluded
$315.74
$18.59
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 53.1Β’ | $112.42 | $111.01 | -$1.41 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 48.6Β’ | $46.83 | $48.49 | +$1.66 | 86% 39944-6718 (46662) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 48.6Β’ | $26.46 | β | -$26.46 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 42Β’ | $20.37 | $48.49 | +$28.12 | |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144ARB<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $53.47 | $46 | -$7.47 | 68% 33599-15456 (49055) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $22.88 | $46 | +$23.12 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 56Β’ | $30.59 | β | -$30.59 | |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 58.4Β’ | $43.77 | $41.94 | -$1.83 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 37.4Β’ | $20.02 | $53.47 | +$33.45 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.2Β’ | $23.15 | β | -$13.95 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 84.2Β’ | $12.49 | $14.83 | +$2.34 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
Invested
$112.42
Value
$111.01
PnL
-$1.41
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Invested
$46.83
Value
$48.49
PnL
+$1.66
Record
86%
39944-6718 (46662)
Both legs:
Invested
$53.47
Value
$46
PnL
-$7.47
Record
68%
33599-15456 (49055)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.77
Value
$41.94
PnL
-$1.83
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
Invested
$20.02
Value
$53.47
PnL
+$33.45
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$23.15
Value
β
PnL
-$13.95
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.49
Value
$14.83
PnL
+$2.34
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $111.01
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
ARBArbitrage β excluded
antsaslyku
Down β $41.94
uninformedfloww
Down β $53.47
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $14.83