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UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpDownDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$40.99
Combined PnL
-$31.23
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$41.55
Down3 traders
Total Value$40.99
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$10.32
Up β 50%Down β 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 61.6Β’ | $24.64 | β | -$24.64 | 56% 31373-24226 (55599) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95.3Β’ | $15.51 | $16.28 | +$0.77 | 62% 38200-23710 (61910) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.6Β’ | $16.9 | β | -$16.9 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 66.7Β’ | $13.15 | $19.71 | +$6.56 | 81% 50447-11707 (62154) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 40Β’ | $2 | $5 | +$3 | 58% 6421-4582 (11003) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 0.2Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 58% 10403-7659 (18062) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$24.64
Value
β
PnL
-$24.64
Record
56%
31373-24226 (55599)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.51
Value
$16.28
PnL
+$0.77
Record
62%
38200-23710 (61910)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$16.9
Value
β
PnL
-$16.9
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$13.15
Value
$19.71
PnL
+$6.56
Record
81%
50447-11707 (62154)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3
Record
58%
6421-4582 (11003)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
58%
10403-7659 (18062)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e0385af...4e6848
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1792909800