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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Over β€” but Under won instead.

AZ Picerno vs. US Salernitana: O/U 3.5

Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Over 57%

Total Value

$127.72

Combined PnL

-$14.31

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under3 traders
Total Value$102.72
Total Shares103
Combined PnL+$12.61
Over4 traders
Total Value$25
Total Shares141
Combined PnL-$26.92
Under β€” 43%Over β€” 57%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x26da3c75...3d9bbd
Slug
serc-azp-sal-2026-10-26-total-3pt5
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