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cassandra.torchlight<$100OverUnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AZ Picerno vs. US Salernitana: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$63.29
Combined PnL
-$69.75
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$63.29
Total Shares63
Combined PnL+$13.29
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares429
Combined PnL-$83.04
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cassandra.torchlight<$100 | Overavg 79¢ | $50 | $63.29 | +$13.29 | 49% 250-256 (506) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 59% 43329-29788 (73117) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 21¢ | $42 | — | -$42 | 50% 23534-23109 (46643) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 12¢ | $8.61 | — | -$8.61 | 50% 11601-11716 (23317) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 21¢ | $29.19 | — | -$29.19 | 57% 27008-20057 (47065) |
cassandra.torchlight<$100Invested
$50
Value
$63.29
PnL
+$13.29
Record
49%
250-256 (506)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
59%
43329-29788 (73117)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$42
Value
—
PnL
-$42
Record
50%
23534-23109 (46643)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$8.61
Value
—
PnL
-$8.61
Record
50%
11601-11716 (23317)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$29.19
Value
—
PnL
-$29.19
Record
57%
27008-20057 (47065)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x306c74e2...2f214c
Slug
serc-azp-sal-2026-10-26-total-1pt5