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Over
HRTrading<$100UnderOverOver
RN1CTR<$100Over Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$2.02
Combined PnL
-$199.6
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares400
Combined PnL-$200
Under1 trader
Total Value$2.02
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.4
Over β 80%Under β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR | Overavg 25Β’ | $200 | β | -$200 | 51% 6631-6378 (13009) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 80Β’ | $1.62 | $2.02 | +$0.4 | 57% 1578-1171 (2749) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 35Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 67% 31285-15084 (46369) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 5.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16365-14925 (31290) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 21Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 43817-36057 (79874) |
FO
fooooolCTRInvested
$200
Value
β
PnL
-$200
Record
51%
6631-6378 (13009)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
$2.02
PnL
+$0.4
Record
57%
1578-1171 (2749)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
31285-15084 (46369)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16365-14925 (31290)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
43817-36057 (79874)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf88a79d7...101d55
Slug
pol-jag-plo-2026-10-25-total-3pt5