Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Over 100%
1 arb excluded
$445.57
$0.31
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $299.7 | $300 | +$0.3 | 99% 6841-38 (6879) |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Underavg 27.9Β’ | $137.29 | $135.57 | -$1.72 | 51% 6631-6378 (13009) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 27.9Β’ | $71.63 | β | -$71.63 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 48.4Β’ | $65.67 | $135.57 | +$69.91 | |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $9.99 | $10 | +$0.01 | 57% 1578-1171 (2749) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Overavg 74.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 67% 31285-15084 (46369) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 34.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16365-14925 (31290) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 41.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 63% 22715-13447 (36162) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 41.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 43817-36057 (79874) |
Invested
$299.7
Value
$300
PnL
+$0.3
Record
99%
6841-38 (6879)
Invested
$137.29
Value
$135.57
PnL
-$1.72
Record
51%
6631-6378 (13009)
Both legs:
HRTrading<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.01
Record
57%
1578-1171 (2749)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
31285-15084 (46369)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16365-14925 (31290)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
22715-13447 (36162)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
43817-36057 (79874)
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