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UnderOverUnderOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 50%
Total Value
$260.5
Combined PnL
-$628.56
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares999
Combined PnL-$769.23
Over3 traders
Total Value$260.5
Total Shares261
Combined PnL+$140.67
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TA TAIWANNUMBERONECTR | Underavg 77¢ | $769.23 | — | -$769.23 | 53% 1055-917 (1972) |
NA NatoAlfista | Overavg 46¢ | $119.83 | $260.5 | +$140.67 | 65% 2863-1510 (4373) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 12316-10142 (22458) |
TA takeormake<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 3039-2470 (5509) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Underavg 52¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 6908-6279 (13187) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 22911-13544 (36455) |
TA
TAIWANNUMBERONECTRInvested
$769.23
Value
—
PnL
-$769.23
Record
53%
1055-917 (1972)
NA
NatoAlfistaInvested
$119.83
Value
$260.5
PnL
+$140.67
Record
65%
2863-1510 (4373)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
12316-10142 (22458)
TA
takeormake<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
3039-2470 (5509)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
6908-6279 (13187)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
22911-13544 (36455)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x34acaf01...f5a499
Slug
nfl-mia-nyj-2026-10-25-total-46pt5