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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5

Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Over 33%

Total Value

$659.57

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Under100%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under6 traders

Total Value$558.22

Total Shares558

Combined PnL+$272.99

Over4 traders

Total Value$101.35

Total Shares3,622

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Under — 60%Over — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Underavg 48.5¢	$223.17	$193.01	+$69.27	46% 338-390 (728)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Underavg 44.8¢	$124.26	$277.22	+$152.96	53% 2504-2222 (4726)
TA takeormake	Overavg 57.3¢	$3.6K	$90.13	$-2.0K	55% 3160-2554 (5714)
SH shoemanhere<$100	Underavg 41¢	$26.65	$65	+$38.35	62% 5076-3053 (8129)
HRTrading<$100	Overavg 39.5¢	$11.57	$11.22	-$0.35	56% 1934-1543 (3477)
AN Anon455<$100	Underavg 46¢	$10.58	$22.99	+$12.41	56% 2221-1759 (3980)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Underavg 45.2¢	—	—	+$0	55% 12853-10588 (23441)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Underavg 53¢	—	—	+$0	50% 16195-16429 (32624)
JU justaluckydude<$100	Overavg 47.9¢	—	—	+$0	52% 7299-6610 (13909)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Overavg 60¢	—	—	+$0	62% 24131-14569 (38700)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Invested

$223.17

Value

$193.01

PnL

+$69.27

Record

46%

338-390 (728)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Invested

$124.26

Value

$277.22

PnL

+$152.96

Record

53%

2504-2222 (4726)

Invested

$3,605.21

Value

$90.13

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

55%

3160-2554 (5714)

shoemanhere<$100

Invested

$26.65

Value

$65

PnL

+$38.35

Record

62%

5076-3053 (8129)

Invested

$11.57

Value

$11.22

PnL

-$0.35

Record

56%

1934-1543 (3477)

Invested

$10.58

Value

$22.99

PnL

+$12.41

Record

56%

2221-1759 (3980)

HomeRunHazard<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

12853-10588 (23441)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

16195-16429 (32624)

justaluckydude<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

7299-6610 (13909)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

24131-14569 (38700)

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa5e5667e...a3f8f8

Slug

nba-lac-okc-2026-10-25-total-209pt5

Traders in this Market

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $193.01

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Under — $277.22

takeormake

Over — $90.13

shoemanhere

Under — $65

HRTrading

Over — $11.22

Anon455

Under — $22.99

HomeRunHazard

Under — $0

omnibus-076daa

Under — $0

justaluckydude

Over — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Over — $0

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