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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Clippers — but Thunder won instead.

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

Resolved Thunder. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Clippers. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Clippers 17%

Total Value

$666.73

Combined PnL

-$584.55

Smart Money Signal

Clippers

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Thunder100%

Clippers0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Thunder5 traders

Total Value$666.73

Total Shares667

Combined PnL+$60.96

Clippers3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,292

Combined PnL-$645.51

Thunder — 63%Clippers — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105	Thunderavg 99¢	$305.15	$308.23	+$3.08	94% 15257-909 (16166)
TA takeormakeCTR	Clippersavg 28.2¢	$2.3K	—	-$645.51	55% 3160-2554 (5714)
FO forecastication4	Thunderavg 86¢	$222.92	$259.21	+$36.29	49% 985-1045 (2030)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Thunderavg 86.4¢	$42.35	$49	+$6.65	56% 21078-16865 (37943)
SH shoemanhere<$100	Thunderavg 69¢	$31.24	$45.28	+$14.04	62% 5076-3053 (8129)
HRTrading<$100	Thunderavg 82¢	$4.11	$5.01	+$0.9	56% 1934-1543 (3477)
balthazarCTR<$100	Clippersavg 29.7¢	—	—	+$0	64% 14982-8561 (23543)
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100	Clippersavg 34.3¢	—	—	+$0	52% 7299-6610 (13909)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Invested

$305.15

Value

$308.23

PnL

+$3.08

Record

94%

15257-909 (16166)

Invested

$2,292.13

Value

—

PnL

-$645.51

Record

55%

3160-2554 (5714)

forecastication4

Invested

$222.92

Value

$259.21

PnL

+$36.29

Record

49%

985-1045 (2030)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

Invested

$42.35

Value

$49

PnL

+$6.65

Record

56%

21078-16865 (37943)

shoemanhere<$100

Invested

$31.24

Value

$45.28

PnL

+$14.04

Record

62%

5076-3053 (8129)

Invested

$4.11

Value

$5.01

PnL

+$0.9

Record

56%

1934-1543 (3477)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

14982-8561 (23543)

justaluckydudeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

7299-6610 (13909)

Smart Money Signal

Clippers

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xeecbacc2...ce1a8a

Slug

nba-lac-okc-2026-10-25-spread-home-2pt5

Traders in this Market

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Thunder — $308.23

takeormake

Clippers — $0

forecastication4

Thunder — $259.21

LeLynxMalynx

Thunder — $49

shoemanhere

Thunder — $45.28

HRTrading

Thunder — $5.01

balthazar

Clippers — $0

justaluckydude

Clippers — $0

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